Aurora Forecast

Churchill

Welcome to Churchill, a captivating town nestled on the shores of Hudson Bay in Manitoba, Canada. Known as the polar bear capital of the world, Churchill offers an extraordinary opportunity to experience not only these magnificent creatures but also the breathtaking phenomenon of the northern lights. Get ready for an adventure that combines unique wildlife encounters with the mesmerizing beauty of the aurora.

Churchill’s geographical position, far from urban light pollution, makes it an ideal spot for viewing the Aurora. Besides the Northern Lights, visitors can experience incredible wildlife, including polar bears, beluga whales and various bird species.

The best time to see the Northern Lights in Churchill is from November to March, with peak viewing opportunities during the winter months when nights are longest and skies are clearest.

A trip to Churchill offers not only an incredible opportunity to see the Northern Lights but also a chance to experience the unique wildlife and culture of this northern gem. Whether you’re chasing the Aurora or exploring the wilderness, Churchill provides an unforgettable adventure.

How are my chances of seeing the aurora today?

Many factors contribute to your likelihood of viewing the aurora in Churchill. Geomagnetic activity, cloud cover and the amount of ambient light all play a big part. Check the forecasts for how good the viewing conditions are today.

Aurora Probability and Atmospheric Conditions

100%

There is a 100% chance of seeing the aurora overhead in the Churchill area (forecast for 14 March 2026 at 3:37am UTC)

Kp 5.67

The Kp-index is a scale used to measure geomagnetic activity. It ranges from 0 to 9, with higher values indicating greater geomagnetic activity.

  • 0-2 (Very low) Far north, quite dim, and not very active.
  • 3-5 (Moderate) Can be seen further south, with increased brightness and activity. Chance of good viewing conditions nearer the pole.
  • 6-7 (High) Visible in many northern regions, with vibrant displays.
  • 8-9 (Extreme) Widespread visibility, often seen in areas much further south than usual, with intense and colorful displays.
HPI 108 GW

The Hemispheric Power Index (HPI) is a vital measure used to assess the strength of auroral activity at the poles. It estimates the total auroral energy input, with values above 20 GW indicating an aurora-active state. When the HPI reaches levels of 100 GW or more, it signifies a very significant geomagnetic storm, which can lead to spectacular auroral displays.

Bz -7 nT

Bz refers to the north-south orientation of the magnetic field embedded in the solar wind. It is measured in nanoteslas (nT).

When Bz is negative (southward), it allows solar wind particles to penetrate the Earth’s magnetic field more easily. A strong negative Bz is often associated with increased chances of seeing the Northern Lights.

Conversely, when Bz is positive (northward), the Earth’s magnetic field tends to block the solar wind, resulting in reduced aurora activity.

Bt 10 nT

Bt measures the overall power of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) from the Sun; higher numbers (e.g., above 20 nT) mean more energy available for aurora.

Density 0.47 p/cm3

Solar wind density refers to the number of charged particles in a given volume of the solar wind, typically measured in particles per cubic centimetre (p/cm3).

A typical solar wind density is around 2.76 p/cm3.

The density of the solar wind affects how many particles reach the Earth’s magnetosphere. A higher density means more particles are available to interact with the Earth’s magnetic field. When these charged particles collide with the gases in the Earth’s atmosphere, energy is released in the form of light that we see as the aurora.

Speed 662.5 km/s

Solar wind speed refers to the velocity at which charged particles are ejected from the Sun’s outer atmosphere, known as the corona.

A typical solar wind speed is about 375 km/s. When both speed and density are high, the energy transferred to the Earth’s magnetosphere increases, enhancing the chances of seeing vibrant auroras.

Light Levels

Moon

Waning crescent 36%

Sunrise 7:38am

Sunset 7:13pm

Moonrise 6:49am

Moonset 11:34am

Weather Forecast for Churchill

Clouds

-28°C Feels like -35°C

High
-25°C
Low
-35°C
  • Chance of precipitation 1%

  • Cloud cover 17%

  • North-Westerly winds 7 km/h gusts of 12 km/h

Book an amazing adventure in Churchill

Explore this selection of tours and activities to make the most of your visit to Churchill.

  • Tundra Buggy Autumn Day Tours

    4.3 (14)

    8 hours From £388.36

    See polar bears in the wild — a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity — on a Tundra Buggy Adventure day tour! This memorable tour is designed for people who are already staying in the town of Churchill, nicknamed the Polar Bear Capital of the World due to the many bears that migrate into the area each year. On board a Tundra Buggy, a safe, specially designed wildlife-viewing vehicle, you’ll traverse the open tundra with an expert guide, searching for polar bears and other wildlife like arctic foxes. Lunch and refreshments are included.

  • Tundra Buggy Summer Day Tours

    4.1 (12)

    6 hours From £180.11

    A Summer Tundra Buggy® Day Tour is one of the best ways to experience the magnificent ecosystems surrounding Churchill. With the most special permits to access the trail network in the Churchill Wildlife Management Area, explore the tundra while your driver provides interpretation about the colourful flora, amazing fauna and incredible history of this unique sub-arctic environment. Experience the summer scenery and scan the landscape for arctic fox, arctic hare, caribou and the first polar bears to return from their annual hunt on the sea ice. Churchill is also an incredible destination for bird lovers, with over 200 different species migrating through the area each summer Please note that Tundra Buggy Day Tours take place on a 40-passenger Tundra Buggy and during peak seasons have a tendency to sell to capacity. We highly recommend booking your Tundra Buggy Day Tour(s) as early as possible.

Places to check out around Churchill

Other places in Canada

See also

HomeAurora ForecastPlanning Your Northern Lights AdventureNorthern Lights PhotographyScience Of The AuroraNorthern Lights PlaylistNorthern Lights Myths And LegendsAbout Seek The Aurora

Northern Images Gallery

Northern Images Gallery is an Art Gallery at 171 Kelsey Blvd, Churchill MB, Canada

WebsitePhone: (204) 675-2681

Where to find Northern Images Gallery?

58°46'6"N, 94°9'54"W

Other places to try near Northern Images Gallery